3 signs Ethereum price is on track toward $2.5K by September

Ethereum’s native asset, Ether (ETH), has more than doubled in value since bottoming out at around $885 in June 2022. Now, it eyes a decisive move toward $2,500 in August per a slew of technical and fundamental indicators.

Ethereum chain split means more tokens

A big part of Ether’s ongoing rally has appeared due to the Merge, a network upgrade that will switch Ethereum’s underlying blockchain protocol from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS) in September.

Simultaneously, switching to PoS will also eliminate the role of miners in the chain by replacing them with validators. This fear has prompted Chandler Guo, a Chinese crypto miner, to resist the Merge by keeping Ethereum’s PoW version alive.

A chain split is possible as a result. Guo has already branded his version of the Ethereum PoW chain as ETHPoW, alongside its native token ETHW. Furthermore, some crypto exchanges have already listed the token for trading, with even Binance considering doing the same, if necessary. 

A key takeaway from a potential chain split is existing Ether holders will receive an equal amount of tokens from the new chains.

In turn, that could boost ETH’s demand in the market, leading its price toward the $2,500 mark in the run-up to the Merge. 

Bullish flipping underway

During its recent price recovery, Ether has confidently rallied toward a critical support-turned-resistance range of $1,625-$1,975.

ETH/USD now aims to retake the range as support, thus giving itself a strong price floor to pursue a rally toward and above $2,000. Its nearest upside target is the 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA; the red wave in the chart below) at $2,340.

ETH/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

The next range breakout target could be at the Ether multi-month descending trendline resistance (the black line) at around $2,500.

Institutional inflows gain momentum

The technical upside target of $2,500 receives cues from a recent uptick in capital inflows into Ethereum-based investment funds.

Related: Optimism TVL surges nearly 300% M/M ahead of The Merge upgrade

Notably, these institutional products attracted $16.3 million from investors in the week ending Aug. 5. Similar funds for Bitcoin witnessed capital outflows worth $8.5 million in the same period, suggesting a strong upside bias for Ether versus the top crypto.

Net capital flows in/out of crypto funds. Source: CoinShares

Overall, the buzz around the Merge acts as the main bullish catalyst, as mentioned above. However, Ether could see strong price corrections after the upgrade to PoS occurs in September when traders potentially start to “sell the news.”

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